27 September 2025

The Protestant Wager ~ Why Catholicism Wins Pascal’s Wager

From Brian Holdsworth


Pascal’s Wager isn’t meant to prove God’s existence — it’s meant to help those on the fence make the wisest choice. But what if we applied that same logic to the question of which Christian denomination you should belong to? In this video, I explain why the wager points toward Catholicism over Protestantism (and even Eastern Orthodoxy), and why it’s not as cynical or shallow as critics claim. Timestamps: 00:00 – Introduction & context of my original remark 00:36 – The tweet that sparked controversy 01:23 – Strawman reactions 01:43 – Why Pascal’s Wager isn’t “stupid” 03:30 – What Pascal’s Wager Doesn't claim 04:53 – The real meaning of Christian faith 05:46 – The legitimacy of self-interest in faith 07:06 – Pascal’s Wager 07:31 – Happiness, restraint, and religion 08:47 – Objection: “This applies to any religion” 10:22 – Christianity stands apart from paganism & Islam 12:08 – Applying the wager to Protestantism vs. Catholicism 16:05 – Objection: “Why not go Orthodox instead?” 17:28 – The fragmented reality of Orthodoxy 18:40 – Conclusion: Why Catholicism is the safest bet

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